A Deadly Gamble

First, Vladimir Putin is not Hitler. Not even close. Putin is hampered by a nationally fatal shortsightedness, blinded by the prism of Russian history and culture, and torn between modernizing an oil weighted economy and appeasing oligarchs who could sieze control of the country, or at least split into the Balkan-type civil fracturing of a nuclear power. That isn’t altogether different from the United States, by the way.

In my 2014 book, A TRAGIC FATE: Politics, Oil, the crash of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 and the Looming Threats to Civil Aviation Kindle Edition by WC TURCK http://www.amazon.com/TRAGIC-FATE-Politics-Malaysia-Airlines-ebook/dp/B00RPXWDPK I described the dangerous position Russia has found itself, desperately grasping for economic and social equilibrium through the control of oil and gas reserves.

The Syrian crisis illustrates Putin’s precarious position precisely. First, the historic correction of oil prices, affected by a sluggish global economy, de-escalation between Iran and the West, the end of supply-chain disrupting wars, Fracking and OPEC’s assault on Fracking’s profitability, carbon emission initiatives and green technology threatens Putin’s economy and security. More than 2/3 of the Russian economy is based on oil revenues. Low prices are devastating to Russia, exactly the opposite of America’s consumer-based economy. Tensions in Syria with the insertion of Russia’s military appear to have driven a spike in oil prices, opening October 1st at nearly $47.

Second, Western, and particularly US policy and action in Syria’s civil war has proved a complete failure. According to the International Business Times Syria has ” 2.5 billion barrels of crude oil as of January 2013, which makes it the largest proved reserve of crude oil in the eastern Mediterranean according to the Oil & Gas Journal estimate.”

While the US wants Syrian President Assad out, envisioning a chaotic scenario akin to the Libyan debacle, that leaves the door wide open for Putin and Russia to step inside. The airstrikes this week confirmed that Putin is less interested in assailing ISIS than he is in supporting Assad.

The pay off for Russia is clear. Syria possesses vast reserves of oil, gas and oil shale as yet untapped because of the fighting. Think of Syria as something of a mini-Crimea, which Putin siezed from Ukraine because of its strategic interest and proximity to Black Sea oil and gas reserves. If Putin, as he sees it, can end the fighting and alleviate pressure on Damascus, or sweep it off into a corner of the country the appreciation of Assad would pay untold dividends for Putin.

It is all short-sighted of course. The world will only continue moving father and farther away from reliance on fossil fuels. Putin and his government have shown little or no inclination in evolving and adapting to that eventuality. That short-sightedness may be the most dangerous component of all of this. No matter what direction Putin goes, without divesting from oil and gas as the bulwark of his economy, disaster and danger are only a heartbeat away.

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You had to make it a war against a religion, now look what you’ve done!!!

A new rant from the FILTHY PUNDIT(He ought to have his mouth washed out with soap) Politics, way over the %$#@ing top!………………..been reading quite a bit on ISIS, those shitheads in Iraq created by This country. I won’t even say Righties, because all Americans really are to blame for this one by being fat, stupid and lazy…and worst of all ignorant of what our Muslim friends and neighbors, the vast majority good and decent Muslims were trying to tell us after September 11th…Don’t make it about religion. And it wasn’t. It was about fucking criminals who hid behind religion, sort of like George Fucking Bush who called Iraq a “crusade” and infused all the jerk –off militarism and self-fellating nationalism with Christian evangelical garbage. Same fucking animals in my book. And we are fucking schizophrenic-apologies to a few of my actual, lucid, intelligent and coherent, clinically diagnosed schizophrenic friends- but have you heard our media and Republicans talk about George Bush and the Iraq invasion as if they weren’t fucking cheerleading and economically gang-raping the Dixie chicks through that whole “with us er against us shit? Righties who couldn’t cum hard enough at the thought of fucking up Iraq, and who, like Shaun Hannity still claim there are WMDs hidden there? But unlike the original Iraqis, these ISIS fucks fight and cut off heads, so all the righties are pussing out. And by the way, I just watched a video about ISIS capturing SCUD Missiles but first had to sit through a Bank of America commercial showing fat rednecks and a Chevy truck going to a BBQ/bypass operation. How’s that for fucking disconnection and foreshadowing? And for the eternal hand-ringers for perpetual peace, we created this mess, and it is a mess. We don’t get to walk away from it. You make a mess, you clean it up! Which doesn’t absolve the neighbors there either. Those assholes had better pony up too. It’s like we are all sitting nice and quite in a bar and two guys named George and Dick come in and stir up a mess of trouble, riling up folks otherwise under control, throwing the bartender into the alley and chasing off the bouncer, then leaves you with the tab. Some weird guy in the corner starts fucking shit up, threatening the girls in the bar, stabs a guy and lights a table on fire. You hate the thought of a fight, but you’re the only guy big enough to take this fuck on and straighten the bar back out so you can get back to your quiet beer and the game. What do you do? Pussie out, say you don’t give a shit about the bully and the victims. Maybe you’ll find another bar, rotting inside because you knew you’d pussed when someone really needed a hero. Then again, maybe that weird asshole follows you to the new bar and the one after that. That’s sort of what ISIS is. They’re a little prick, turned bully and now they’ve turned it on full force against the small and the weak, and there ain’t a mirror in the universe that hides the shame of letting it happen when you could stop it cold. There ain’t a grave deep enough to bury all that shame in, but that’s just me…I fucking hate bullies, and these guys are the bullies pulled straight from hell’s rotted asshole. Send ‘em back and do it hard. They’re in a desert for christ’s sake. Ain’t like we’re gonna wreck much else.

CAM00236WC Turck is an author, artist, playwright and talk radio host in Chicago. He has been called the most dangerous voice on the Left. He is currently working on a new book “Shoot Down: An unflinching look at the events leading up to the shooting down of Malaysia Air Flight 17.” His first novel, “Broken” was recommended by NAMI for its treatment of PTSD. In 2006 he published “Everything for Love,” a memoir of his experiences during the siege of Sarajevo. He wrote and produced two critically acclaimed plays, “Occupy my Heart” and “The People’s Republic of Edward Snowden.” He works with the homeless and foreclosure victims in Chicago. He partners in a weekly radio show dedicated to issues, society and politics with cohost, activist and artist Brian Murray For more information, past shows, videos and articles, visit www.revolutioandbeer.com

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